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IB MAI HL Statistics & Probability Topic 4.3 Probability (id: bc7509624)

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admin 发表于 2024-3-9 22:49:29 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本题目来源于试卷: IB MAI HL Statistics & Probability Topic 4.3 Probability,类别为 IB数学

[问答题]
After school, a group of six students play a soccer passing +yayd: j)a9tf/iegs m)g6p 0g gamp q8opqc . oixg-;0r3 ss8e:bke. Alex, Bella, Cleo, Dixie, and Emmy stand in a circle and pass the ball to each other while Ben, standing in the middle, tries to intec-p so38bi e:qro8s;q.gp0 kxrcept the passes.

The following diagram shows the possible paths that the ball can be passed between the players, in the form of a directed graph. Some of the students are more likely to pass the ball to their friends than to other students. The paths shown by dotted lines represent a pass that is twice as likely as a pass shown by a solid line. For example, Dixie can pass the ball to Alex and Cleo with probability 0.25 and to Emmy with probability 0.5. Dixie won't pass the ball to Bella.



It is assumed that each player keeps the ball for a constant time before passing it. At the start of the game, Alex has the ball.
1. Determine the transition matrix for the graph.
2. Calculate the probability that Cleo has the ball after exactly four passes have been completed, assuming that Ben has not intercepted a pass.
3. If the players continue passing indefinitely, without an interception, determine which player will spend the least amount of time with the ball.




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